METHODOLOGY

Evidence before confidence.

The public methodology page explains the philosophy of the research workflow without exposing proprietary code, thresholds, or model internals.

01
DATA COLLECTION

Collect & preserve context

Market structure, price behavior, options, liquidity, market-state context, and research outcomes are organized for analysis.

02
RESEARCH CANDIDATE

Turn an observation into a testable hypothesis

Interesting patterns are treated as candidates rather than automatically assumed to be useful.

03
HISTORICAL RESEARCH

Measure behavior across relevant slices

Ticker, regime, time of day, direction, volatility, and related context can all matter.

04
VALIDATION

Test against data the idea did not optimize on

Holdout and later-unseen evidence help separate a repeatable finding from an overfit result.

05
PROSPECTIVE MONITORING

Observe what happens next

Research can remain in shadow or prospective collection while additional evidence accumulates.

06
REVIEW

Promote, continue watching, or reject

Passing one test does not imply automatic live effect. Research and production decisions remain separate.

Objective

Measure data before telling a story about it.

Transparent

Explain status, evidence, limitations, and next steps.

Validated

Later-unseen evidence matters more than in-sample excitement.

Continuous

Research remains open to new evidence and changing market behavior.